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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 23% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 23%

Total Value

$754.89

Combined PnL

-$496.24

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 13 top traders (23%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders
Total Value$754.89
Total Shares755
Combined PnL-$6.72
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares520
Combined PnL-$489.52
Down — 77%Up — 23%
BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$525.88

Value

$497.23

PnL

+$13.7

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$550

Value

—

PnL

-$480.37

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$124.59

Value

$101.57

PnL

-$23.03

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$46.32

Value

$39.79

PnL

-$3.05

Record

37%

1289-2149 (3438)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$39.5

Value

$39.9

PnL

+$0.4

Record

98%

3425-72 (3497)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$21.63

Value

$22.84

PnL

+$1.21

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$18.75

Value

$25

PnL

+$6.25

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$25.88

Value

$12

PnL

-$3.66

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$6.16

Value

$5.97

PnL

-$0.19

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$5.9

Value

$5.59

PnL

-$0.31

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.85

Value

—

PnL

-$6.85

Record

47%

2017-2278 (4295)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$3.05

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.95

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

47%

1973-2229 (4202)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd038b1bf...d83351
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794662100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $497.23

+$13.7
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$480.37
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $101.57

-$23.03
AN

antsaslyku

Down — $39.79

-$3.05
HO

hoodquant

Down — $39.9

+$0.4
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $22.84

+$1.21

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $25

+$6.25
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12

-$3.66
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.97

-$0.19
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.59

-$0.31
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