Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$11.92

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$113.9

Total Shares114

Combined PnL-$4.32

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares18

Combined PnL-$7.6

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$550	$550	+$13.4	51% 3170-3070 (6240)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$275	$550	+$275
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$249.8	—	-$261.6
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.1¢	$507.79	$501.33	+$19.49	54% 3273-2778 (6051)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.1¢	$246.09	$501.33	+$258.25
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.1¢	$243.04	—	-$238.77
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 78.9¢	$39.97	$35	-$4.97	50% 2996-2942 (5938)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$31.96	$29	-$2.96	49% 2245-2302 (4547)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$13.13	$12	-$1.13	67% 3205-1601 (4806)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 84¢	$8.4	$10	+$1.6	52% 2502-2335 (4837)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98¢	$6.66	$6.8	+$0.14	98% 3425-72 (3497)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 75¢	$8.25	$11	+$2.75	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 44¢	$4.99	—	-$4.99	37% 1289-2149 (3438)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.05	$5.1	+$0.05	51% 1315-1249 (2564)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	48% 1394-1507 (2901)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$1.65	—	-$1.65	64% 2251-1263 (3514)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$0.96	—	-$0.96	44% 1940-2509 (4449)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$550

Value

$550

PnL

+$13.4

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

Both legs:

Up$27550¢+$275

Down$249.850¢-$261.6

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$507.79

Value

$501.33

PnL

+$19.49

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

Both legs:

Up$246.0949.1¢+$258.25

Down$243.0449.1¢-$238.77

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$39.97

Value

$35

PnL

-$4.97

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$31.96

Value

$29

PnL

-$2.96

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

Invested

$13.13

Value

$12

PnL

-$1.13

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.6

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

Invested

$6.66

Value

$6.8

PnL

+$0.14

Record

98%

3425-72 (3497)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$8.25

Value

$11

PnL

+$2.75

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$4.99

Value

—

PnL

-$4.99

Record

37%

1289-2149 (3438)

Invested

$5.05

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$0.05

Record

51%

1315-1249 (2564)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.2

Record

48%

1394-1507 (2901)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.65

Value

—

PnL

-$1.65

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.96

Value

—

PnL

-$0.96

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xfe7cbfa6...08cf42

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794661800

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $35

dvasdkasodk

Up — $29

asdaefef

Up — $12

MayorMamdani

Up — $10

hoodquant

Up — $6.8

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $11

antsaslyku

Down — $0

0x50f7

Up — $5.1

Trade on Polymarket