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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 10% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 10%

Total Value

$113.33

Combined PnL

-$484.18

Smart Money Signal

Up

1 of 10 top traders (10%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares500
Combined PnL-$498.1
Down9 traders
Total Value$113.33
Total Shares113
Combined PnL+$13.92
Up — 10%Down — 90%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$498.1

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$30.37

Value

$38.27

PnL

+$7.9

Record

50%

2116-2116 (4232)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$39.54

Value

$39.94

PnL

+$0.4

Record

71%

1495-608 (2103)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$4.11

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.89

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6.06

PnL

+$0.18

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$3.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.6

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.15

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.6

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$2.97

Value

$3.19

PnL

+$0.22

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$3.9

Value

$4.87

PnL

+$0.97

Record

42%

1520-2127 (3647)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb8477623...4261f0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794661200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$498.1
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $38.27

+$7.9

BoneOhio

Down — $39.94

+$0.4
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $6

+$1.89
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $6.06

+$0.18
SO

soswald1

Down — $5

+$1.6
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

+$0.15
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5

+$0.6

MayorMamdani

Down — $3.19

+$0.22
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $4.87

+$0.97
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