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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 36%

Total Value

$207.21

Combined PnL

-$532.37

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares609
Combined PnL-$531.53
Down7 traders
Total Value$207.21
Total Shares207
Combined PnL-$0.84
Up — 36%Down — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$515.5

Value

—

PnL

-$484.92

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$101.32

Value

$97.65

PnL

-$3.68

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$50.36

Value

$50.89

PnL

+$0.53

Record

71%

1495-608 (2103)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$26.3

Value

—

PnL

-$26.3

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$18.44

Value

$18.68

PnL

+$0.24

Record

98%

3425-72 (3497)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$13.16

Value

$14.09

PnL

+$0.93

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$9.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.9

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$7.74

Value

$7.9

PnL

+$0.16

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.85

Value

—

PnL

-$17.85

Record

37%

1289-2149 (3438)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.46

Value

—

PnL

-$2.46

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x760418f5...e5cd76
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794660900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$484.92
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $97.65

-$3.68

BoneOhio

Down — $50.89

+$0.53
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$26.3
HO

hoodquant

Down — $18.68

+$0.24
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $14.09

+$0.93
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $10

+$0.9
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $8

+$0.08
AS

asdaefef

Down — $7.9

+$0.16
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$17.85
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