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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$606.29

Combined PnL

$4.11

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$107.99

Total Shares108

Combined PnL+$17.94

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares45

Combined PnL-$13.83

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$505.75	$498.3	-$5.44	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$247.92	$498.3	+$249.06
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$254.5	—	-$254.5
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 71.4¢	$42.04	$52.66	+$10.62	51% 3148-3049 (6197)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 62.6¢	$15.15	$15.32	+$4.21	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 69.3¢	$11.2	$15	+$3.8	52% 2488-2319 (4807)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$11.88	$12	+$0.12	67% 3205-1601 (4806)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 33.5¢	$5.03	—	-$5.03	44% 1926-2494 (4420)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 73¢	$7.94	$7	-$0.94	37% 1281-2136 (3417)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98¢	$5.88	$6	+$0.12	64% 2251-1263 (3514)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 29.3¢	$8.8	—	-$8.8	47% 1960-2212 (4172)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.75

Value

$498.3

PnL

-$5.44

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

Both legs:

Up$247.9249.8¢+$249.06

Down$254.549.9¢-$254.5

Invested

$42.04

Value

$52.66

PnL

+$10.62

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$15.15

Value

$15.32

PnL

+$4.21

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$11.2

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.8

Record

52%

2488-2319 (4807)

Invested

$11.88

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.12

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$5.03

Value

—

PnL

-$5.03

Record

44%

1926-2494 (4420)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$7.94

Value

$7

PnL

-$0.94

Record

37%

1281-2136 (3417)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.12

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$8.8

Value

—

PnL

-$8.8

Record

47%

1960-2212 (4172)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0a2dd0b8...5a658f

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794659700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $52.66

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $15.32

MayorMamdani

Up — $15

asdaefef

Up — $12

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $7

asidjasiodja

Up — $6

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

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