Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$13.79
Smart Money Signal
8 of 8 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $544.66 | +$11.21 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $502.7 | $500 | +$1.3 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.7 | — | -$248.7 | |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 51% 1306-1242 (2548) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $13.89 | $13 | -$0.89 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $10.87 | $11 | -$0.41 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.98 | $6 | +$1.02 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $2.81 | $2.87 | +$0.06 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $3.8 | $5.21 | +$1.41 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $3.75 | $5.14 | +$1.39 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
Invested
$550
Value
$544.66
PnL
+$11.21
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$502.7
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.3
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1306-1242 (2548)
Invested
$13.89
Value
$13
PnL
-$0.89
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$10.87
Value
$11
PnL
-$0.41
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$4.98
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.02
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$2.81
Value
$2.87
PnL
+$0.06
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5.21
PnL
+$1.41
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5.14
PnL
+$1.39
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)