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UpDownUpDownDown
G-Penis-Monster<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 33%
Total Value
$30.3
Combined PnL
-$506.76
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares520
Combined PnL-$510.18
Down4 traders
Total Value$30.3
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$3.41
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $10.65 | $10 | -$0.14 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.8¢ | $10.18 | — | -$10.18 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $8.35 | $10 | +$1.65 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $4.35 | $5.3 | +$0.95 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.05 | $5 | +$0.95 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$10.65
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.14
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$10.18
Value
—
PnL
-$10.18
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$8.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.65
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
$5.3
PnL
+$0.95
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.95
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x94fff03c...4d18f2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794658500