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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$57.05

Combined PnL

-$535.23

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares723
Combined PnL-$531.11
Up4 traders
Total Value$57.05
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$4.12
Down — 60%Up — 40%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$506.84

Value

—

PnL

-$486.49

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$42.96

Value

—

PnL

-$42.96

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Up

Invested

$15.02

Value

$21.94

PnL

+$6.92

Record

37%

1281-2136 (3417)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$46.51

Value

$18.96

PnL

-$19.77

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$6.75

Value

$13.68

PnL

+$6.93

Record

47%

2004-2262 (4266)

AL
almach<$100
Up

Invested

$0.67

Value

$2.47

PnL

+$1.8

Record

50%

1303-1301 (2604)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.23

Value

—

PnL

-$0.23

Record

52%

2488-2319 (4807)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

47%

1960-2212 (4172)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.18

Value

—

PnL

-$0.18

Record

44%

1926-2494 (4420)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1476bdc1...687a92
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794657900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$486.49
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$42.96
AN

antsaslyku

Up — $21.94

+$6.92
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $18.96

-$19.77
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $13.68

+$6.93
AL

almach

Up — $2.47

+$1.8

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.23
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.45
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.8

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.18
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