Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$589.59
-$22.49
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $502.86 | $500.17 | -$1.23 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.6¢ | $247.9 | $500.17 | +$248.77 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $64.61 | — | -$64.61 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $19.23 | $50.05 | +$30.82 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $8.19 | $15 | +$6.81 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.4 | $10.77 | +$9.37 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $15.91 | — | -$15.91 | 37% 1281-2136 (3417) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.26 | $7 | +$5.74 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.32 | $6.6 | +$5.28 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
Invested
$502.86
Value
$500.17
PnL
-$1.23
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$64.61
Value
—
PnL
-$64.61
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$19.23
Value
$50.05
PnL
+$30.82
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.19
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.81
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$10.77
PnL
+$9.37
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$15.91
Value
—
PnL
-$15.91
Record
37%
1281-2136 (3417)
Invested
$1.26
Value
$7
PnL
+$5.74
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
Invested
$1.32
Value
$6.6
PnL
+$5.28
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)