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UpDownDownDownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 29%
Total Value
$52.5
Combined PnL
-$485.77
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares505
Combined PnL-$497.97
Down5 traders
Total Value$52.5
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$12.21
Up — 29%Down — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $509.31 | — | -$494.47 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $17.31 | $15.38 | -$1.93 | 51% 3131-3018 (6149) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $9.75 | $14.92 | +$5.17 | 37% 1273-2122 (3395) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 98% 3371-72 (3443) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.2 | $10.2 | +$5 | 50% 725-729 (1454) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 44% 1915-2467 (4382) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $2.22 | $6 | +$3.78 | 41% 1475-2082 (3557) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$509.31
Value
—
PnL
-$494.47
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$17.31
Value
$15.38
PnL
-$1.93
Record
51%
3131-3018 (6149)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$9.75
Value
$14.92
PnL
+$5.17
Record
37%
1273-2122 (3395)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
98%
3371-72 (3443)
PB
PBot-6<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
$10.2
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
725-729 (1454)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
44%
1915-2467 (4382)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$2.22
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.78
Record
41%
1475-2082 (3557)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0bcea4cc...d54d04
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794655500