Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 57%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$24.23

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$106.75

Total Shares107

Combined PnL+$6.4

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares45

Combined PnL-$30.63

Down — 57%Up — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$550	$550	+$52.62	51% 3131-3018 (6149)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$275	$550	+$275
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$244.9	—	-$222.38
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$508.62	$490	-$9.6	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.2¢	$241.08	$490	+$245.6
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.5¢	$256.36	—	-$255.2
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 98.9¢	$90.9	$91.94	+$1.04	71% 1465-598 (2063)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 33.2¢	$12.12	—	-$12.12	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 97¢	$5.82	$6	+$0.18	98% 3371-72 (3443)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 82¢	$3.12	$3.81	+$0.69	47% 1993-2245 (4238)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 81¢	$4.86	—	-$4.86	41% 1475-2082 (3557)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 10¢	$0.5	$5	+$4.5	52% 2477-2289 (4766)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 90¢	$13.65	—	-$13.65	47% 1950-2185 (4135)