Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 17%
$497.28
-$18.55
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.8Β’ | $518.09 | $497.18 | -$1.6 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 37Β’ | $7.1 | β | -$7.1 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 48% 1918-2109 (4027) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8Β’ | $5.96 | β | -$5.96 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.5Β’ | $1.35 | β | -$1.35 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $0.45 | β | -$0.45 | 38% 1272-2117 (3389) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $0.09 | $0.1 | +$0.01 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
Invested
$518.09
Value
$497.18
PnL
-$1.6
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
Invested
$7.1
Value
β
PnL
-$7.1
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
48%
1918-2109 (4027)
Invested
$5.96
Value
β
PnL
-$5.96
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
β
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
Invested
$0.45
Value
β
PnL
-$0.45
Record
38%
1272-2117 (3389)
Invested
$0.09
Value
$0.1
PnL
+$0.01
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)