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DownDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$39.12
Combined PnL
-$491.79
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares890
Combined PnL-$506.96
Up3 traders
Total Value$39.12
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$15.17
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.2¢ | $503.86 | — | -$499.46 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 51% 1269-1214 (2483) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 42.6¢ | $14.98 | $30.06 | +$15.08 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $5.01 | $5.06 | +$0.05 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $3.96 | $4 | +$0.04 | 98% 3320-70 (3390) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$503.86
Value
—
PnL
-$499.46
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
51%
1269-1214 (2483)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$14.98
Value
$30.06
PnL
+$15.08
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.01
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$3.96
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.04
Record
98%
3320-70 (3390)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x59919792...6d0b13
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794646500