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UpUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100DownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$528.02
Combined PnL
-$13.95
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$28
Total Shares28
Combined PnL+$3.26
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$17.21
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $510.75 | $500.02 | -$2 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.4¢ | $247.17 | — | -$249.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $252.02 | $500.02 | +$247.2 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $21.56 | $22 | +$0.44 | 98% 3296-70 (3366) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.6¢ | $13.16 | — | -$13.16 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $3.18 | $6 | +$2.82 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$510.75
Value
$500.02
PnL
-$2
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Both legs:
Down$247.1749.4¢-$249.2
Up$252.0250.4¢+$247.2
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$21.56
Value
$22
PnL
+$0.44
Record
98%
3296-70 (3366)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$13.16
Value
—
PnL
-$13.16
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$3.18
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.82
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8f6fc5d0...56f581
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794645900