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UpUp
ohioismCTR<$100UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$2.04
Combined PnL
-$521.16
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares594
Combined PnL-$521.18
Down1 trader
Total Value$2.04
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.02
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $509.52 | — | -$503.98 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.7¢ | $9.83 | — | -$9.83 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 52% 2431-2242 (4673) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $2.02 | $2.04 | +$0.02 | 98% 3296-70 (3366) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$509.52
Value
—
PnL
-$503.98
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$9.83
Value
—
PnL
-$9.83
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
52%
2431-2242 (4673)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
3296-70 (3366)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3bc42a32...b11b75
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794644400