Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$0.95

Down

2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down2 traders

Total Value$37.34

Total Shares37

Combined PnL+$3.55

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares15

Combined PnL-$4.5

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$550	$540.95	-$1.43	51% 3061-2966 (6027)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$270.48	$540.95	+$271.77
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$269.88	—	-$273.2
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$512.55	$489.99	-$8.5	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.5¢	$247.54	$489.99	+$245.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$252.63	—	-$253.9
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 75.9¢	$28.79	$27.34	-$1.45	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$4.5	—	-$4.5	47% 1953-2201 (4154)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 50¢	$5	$10	+$5	50% 702-708 (1410)