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Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$40
Combined PnL
-$512.78
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares591
Combined PnL-$519.94
Up2 traders
Total Value$40
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$7.16
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.5¢ | $507.54 | — | -$500.11 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.5¢ | $0.89 | — | -$0.89 | 44% 1875-2425 (4300) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 59.8¢ | $24.64 | $25 | +$0.36 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.8¢ | $18.94 | — | -$18.94 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $8.2 | $15 | +$6.8 | 37% 1256-2094 (3350) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$507.54
Value
—
PnL
-$500.11
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.89
Value
—
PnL
-$0.89
Record
44%
1875-2425 (4300)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$24.64
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.36
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$18.94
Value
—
PnL
-$18.94
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.8
Record
37%
1256-2094 (3350)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe4126222...7f5a33
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794643200