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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Down 92%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

$235.66

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,018

Combined PnL+$241.23

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares6

Combined PnL-$5.57

Down — 92%Up — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.5¢	$517.18	$500	+$6.72	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 52¢	$52.46	$55.03	+$6.87	51% 2869-2774 (5643)
AL almach	Downavg 53¢	$53	$100	+$47	50% 1247-1249 (2496)
BO bosona	Downavg 53¢	$53	$100	+$47	51% 4490-4374 (8864)
MO mo-money	Downavg 53¢	$53	$100	+$47	49% 1236-1272 (2508)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 54.8¢	$37.17	$60.09	+$22.91	51% 3032-2944 (5976)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 30.4¢	$4.95	$16.29	+$11.34	48% 1870-2057 (3927)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 28¢	$4.2	$15	+$10.8	47% 1893-2128 (4021)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 74.4¢	$10	$13.44	+$3.44	52% 2416-2220 (4636)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 37¢	$10	$27	+$17	41% 1393-1983 (3376)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$5.57	—	-$5.57	50% 694-702 (1396)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 32.3¢	$6.45	$20	+$13.55	44% 1860-2404 (4264)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 30.9¢	$3.4	$11	+$7.6	47% 1939-2183 (4122)

Invested

$517.18

Value

$500

PnL

+$6.72

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$52.46

Value

$55.03

PnL

+$6.87

Record

51%

2869-2774 (5643)

Invested

$53

Value

$100

PnL

+$47

Record

50%

1247-1249 (2496)

Invested

$53

Value

$100

PnL

+$47

Record

51%

4490-4374 (8864)

Invested

$53

Value

$100

PnL

+$47

Record

49%

1236-1272 (2508)

Invested

$37.17

Value

$60.09

PnL

+$22.91

Record

51%

3032-2944 (5976)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$16.29

PnL

+$11.34

Record

48%

1870-2057 (3927)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

$15

PnL

+$10.8

Record

47%

1893-2128 (4021)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$10

Value

$13.44

PnL

+$3.44

Record

52%

2416-2220 (4636)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$10

Value

$27

PnL

+$17

Record

41%

1393-1983 (3376)

Invested

$5.57

Value

—

PnL

-$5.57

Record

50%

694-702 (1396)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$6.45

Value

$20

PnL

+$13.55

Record

44%

1860-2404 (4264)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.4

Value

$11

PnL

+$7.6

Record

47%

1939-2183 (4122)

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x58c2d5a9...74db17

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794641100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $55.03

almach

Down — $100

bosona

Down — $100

mo-money

Down — $100

soswald1

Down — $60.09

ohioism

Down — $16.29

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15

MayorMamdani

Down — $13.44

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $27

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