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DownUpUpDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$503
Combined PnL
$2.03
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$503
Total Shares503
Combined PnL+$7.6
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$5.57
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $506.1 | $498 | +$5.7 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.72 | — | -$1.72 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $3.1 | $5 | +$1.9 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1244-2078 (3322) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$506.1
Value
$498
PnL
+$5.7
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.72
Value
—
PnL
-$1.72
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.9
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1244-2078 (3322)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4309b952...91f4bc
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794639900