Back to Markets
DownDownUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$22
Combined PnL
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,085
Combined PnL$-1.1K
Up1 trader
Total Value$22
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$0.22
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$537.25 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.2¢ | $505.81 | — | -$500.1 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $21.78 | $22 | +$0.22 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $19.34 | — | -$19.34 | 38% 1240-2064 (3304) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 48% 1860-2039 (3899) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 52% 2405-2202 (4607) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$537.25
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$505.81
Value
—
PnL
-$500.1
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$21.78
Value
$22
PnL
+$0.22
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$19.34
Value
—
PnL
-$19.34
Record
38%
1240-2064 (3304)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
1860-2039 (3899)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
52%
2405-2202 (4607)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x41c23767...4fc6d3
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794636300