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DownUpDownUpUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$531.09
Combined PnL
$6.1
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$41.09
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$6.62
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$0.53
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $504.9 | $490 | +$9.8 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $244.91 | $490 | +$254.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | — | -$244.9 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $12.87 | $13 | +$0.13 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $16.1 | $18.09 | +$1.99 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $5.5 | $10 | +$4.5 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1240-2064 (3304) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$504.9
Value
$490
PnL
+$9.8
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Up$244.9150¢+$254.7
Down$24550¢-$244.9
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$12.87
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.13
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$16.1
Value
$18.09
PnL
+$1.99
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.5
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1240-2064 (3304)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb1583761...32242d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794636000