Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$3.43
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $556.4 | $560 | +$17.75 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $503.7 | $495 | -$2.06 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.4 | $495 | +$249 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $250.97 | — | -$251.06 | |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $9.92 | — | -$9.92 | 38% 1224-2020 (3244) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $10.86 | $10.97 | +$0.11 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $6.84 | $6 | +$1.14 | 64% 2208-1239 (3447) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $6.25 | $5 | -$0.85 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
Invested
$556.4
Value
$560
PnL
+$17.75
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$503.7
Value
$495
PnL
-$2.06
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Invested
$9.92
Value
—
PnL
-$9.92
Record
38%
1224-2020 (3244)
Invested
$10.86
Value
$10.97
PnL
+$0.11
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$6.84
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.14
Record
64%
2208-1239 (3447)
Invested
$6.25
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.85
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)