Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 92%
$1.4K
$135.22
Smart Money Signal
12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $525.7 | $612 | +$86.3 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $523.05 | $500 | -$1 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $40.14 | $50.39 | +$11.9 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $42.5 | $50 | +$7.5 | 50% 1219-1216 (2435) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $42.5 | $50 | +$7.5 | 51% 4461-4339 (8800) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $42.5 | $50 | +$7.5 | 49% 1204-1240 (2444) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $19.61 | $34.2 | +$14.59 | 38% 1224-2020 (3244) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | $7.47 | $11.5 | +$4.04 | 52% 2385-2166 (4551) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $7.74 | $9 | +$1.26 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $6 | $5 | -$1 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.89 | $5.89 | +$1 | 51% 2812-2714 (5526) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
Invested
$525.7
Value
$612
PnL
+$86.3
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
Invested
$523.05
Value
$500
PnL
-$1
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$40.14
Value
$50.39
PnL
+$11.9
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$42.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.5
Record
50%
1219-1216 (2435)
Invested
$42.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.5
Record
51%
4461-4339 (8800)
Invested
$42.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.5
Record
49%
1204-1240 (2444)
Invested
$19.61
Value
$34.2
PnL
+$14.59
Record
38%
1224-2020 (3244)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.47
Value
$11.5
PnL
+$4.04
Record
52%
2385-2166 (4551)
Invested
$7.74
Value
$9
PnL
+$1.26
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$6
Value
$5
PnL
-$1
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
Invested
$4.89
Value
$5.89
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
2812-2714 (5526)
Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $612
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
soswald1
Down — $50.39
almach
Down — $50
bosona
Down — $50
mo-money
Down — $50
antsaslyku
Down — $34.2
MayorMamdani
Down — $11.5
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $9
asdaefef
Down — $5