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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 36%

Total Value

$151.23

Combined PnL

-$485.1

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares539
Combined PnL-$524.89
Down7 traders
Total Value$151.23
Total Shares151
Combined PnL+$39.79
Up — 36%Down — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$506.9

Value

—

PnL

-$498.74

Record

55%

3034-2491 (5525)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$37.19

Value

$52.43

PnL

+$15.24

Record

51%

2976-2895 (5871)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$18.6

Value

$30.19

PnL

+$11.59

Record

47%

1892-2135 (4027)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$13.4

Value

$20.97

PnL

+$7.57

Record

50%

2202-2243 (4445)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$31.15

Value

$19.43

PnL

-$4.68

Record

63%

3717-2213 (5930)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$9.45

Value

$10.22

PnL

+$0.77

Record

48%

1324-1417 (2741)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

64%

2208-1239 (3447)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$1.76

Value

$11

PnL

+$9.24

Record

47%

1854-2076 (3930)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.96

Value

—

PnL

-$4.96

Record

38%

1224-2020 (3244)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.39

Value

—

PnL

-$12.39

Record

67%

3145-1560 (4705)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$8.8

Value

—

PnL

-$8.8

Record

44%

1813-2341 (4154)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xc39bf65c...ef594a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794629400

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$498.74
SO

soswald1

Down — $52.43

+$15.24
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $30.19

+$11.59
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $20.97

+$7.57
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $19.43

-$4.68

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $10.22

+$0.77
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $7

+$0.07
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $11

+$9.24
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.96
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$12.39
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