Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 64%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$1.49
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $533.41 | -$4.1 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $506.58 | $494.15 | -$2.04 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $246.6 | $494.15 | +$247.96 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 95.6¢ | $23.9 | $25 | +$1.1 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $28.09 | $22.14 | -$4.55 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $10.05 | $15 | +$4.95 | 71% 1422-567 (1989) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $9.05 | $10 | +$0.95 | 48% 1324-1417 (2741) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 52% 2385-2166 (4551) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $2.05 | $5 | +$2.95 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
Invested
$550
Value
$533.41
PnL
-$4.1
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$506.58
Value
$494.15
PnL
-$2.04
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Invested
$23.9
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.1
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$28.09
Value
$22.14
PnL
-$4.55
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$10.05
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.95
Record
71%
1422-567 (1989)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$9.05
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.95
Record
48%
1324-1417 (2741)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
52%
2385-2166 (4551)
Invested
$2.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.95
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down — $533.41
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $25
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $22.14
BoneOhio
Down — $15
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $10
MayorMamdani
Down — $5
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $5
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0