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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 50%
Total Value
$42
Combined PnL
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,069
Combined PnL$-1.0K
Up4 traders
Total Value$42
Total Shares42
Combined PnL+$0.27
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$550 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.2¢ | $501 | — | -$491.91 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 51% 1235-1184 (2419) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98.7¢ | $11.85 | $12 | +$0.15 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 64% 2208-1239 (3447) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.46 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1224-2020 (3244) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$550
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$501
Value
—
PnL
-$491.91
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1235-1184 (2419)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$11.85
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.15
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
64%
2208-1239 (3447)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1224-2020 (3244)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xae70b4e4...5fa09c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794627900