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DownUpDown
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$20.67
Combined PnL
-$512.81
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares539
Combined PnL-$513.53
Up3 traders
Total Value$20.67
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$0.72
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.1¢ | $503.2 | — | -$501.4 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $9.55 | $10 | +$0.45 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.5¢ | $4.01 | — | -$4.01 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $5.5 | $5.67 | +$0.17 | 52% 2202-2016 (4218) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.8¢ | $8.11 | — | -$8.11 | 38% 1131-1839 (2970) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$503.2
Value
—
PnL
-$501.4
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$9.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.45
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$4.01
Value
—
PnL
-$4.01
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
$5.67
PnL
+$0.17
Record
52%
2202-2016 (4218)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$8.11
Value
—
PnL
-$8.11
Record
38%
1131-1839 (2970)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x737c6994...88240b
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794594600