Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 83%
2 arb excluded
$1.1K
$5.82
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $550 | $550 | +$2.55 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $275 | $550 | +$275 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $270 | β | -$272.45 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $506.3 | $498.75 | +$5.35 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $250.65 | $498.75 | +$251.65 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $245 | β | -$246.3 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 78.2Β’ | $32.51 | $39.21 | +$6.7 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.3Β’ | $17.92 | $18.05 | +$0.13 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $9.39 | $7.08 | -$2.31 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $9.85 | $14.49 | +$4.64 | 38% 1131-1839 (2970) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | $6.63 | $5.18 | -$1.45 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 21Β’ | $1.89 | β | -$1.89 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$2.55
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Both legs:
Invested
$506.3
Value
$498.75
PnL
+$5.35
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Invested
$32.51
Value
$39.21
PnL
+$6.7
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$17.92
Value
$18.05
PnL
+$0.13
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$9.39
Value
$7.08
PnL
-$2.31
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$9.85
Value
$14.49
PnL
+$4.64
Record
38%
1131-1839 (2970)
Invested
$6.63
Value
$5.18
PnL
-$1.45
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$1.89
Value
β
PnL
-$1.89
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
Up β $39.21
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $18.05
asdaefef
Up β $7.08
antsaslyku
Up β $14.49
dvasdkasodk
Up β $5.18
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0