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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$572.85

Combined PnL

-$15.21

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$67.85
Total Shares68
Combined PnL+$3.45
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares124
Combined PnL-$18.66
Up — 56%Down — 44%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$506.41

Value

$505

PnL

+$3.2

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

Both legs:

Up$253.950.3¢+$253.2
Down$25050¢-$250
HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$39.67

Value

$40.35

PnL

+$0.68

Record

98%

2839-60 (2899)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$9.15

Value

$12

PnL

+$2.85

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$7.84

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.16

Record

52%

2202-2016 (4218)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$5.79

Value

$5

PnL

-$0.79

Record

64%

2024-1152 (3176)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$1.95

Value

$2.5

PnL

+$0.55

Record

48%

1683-1811 (3494)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.85

Value

—

PnL

-$6.85

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.33

Value

—

PnL

-$10.33

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.04

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

38%

1131-1839 (2970)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x8cbf0418...7cfca3
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794593700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$3.2
HO

hoodquant

Up — $40.35

+$0.68
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $12

+$2.85

MayorMamdani

Up — $8

+$0.16
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

-$0.79
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.44

ohioism

Up — $2.5

+$0.55
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.85
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.33
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.04
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