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Down
BoneOhio<$100UpDownUpDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$528.15
Combined PnL
-$9.08
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$29.24
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$1.77
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares28
Combined PnL-$7.32
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $503.2 | $498.91 | -$3.29 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $253.2 | — | -$253.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $249.46 | $498.91 | +$249.91 | |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.05 | $19.24 | +$0.19 | 72% 1328-513 (1841) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $7.46 | $5 | -$2.46 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.8¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$503.2
Value
$498.91
PnL
-$3.29
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Down$253.249.6¢-$253.2
Up$249.4650¢+$249.91
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$19.05
Value
$19.24
PnL
+$0.19
Record
72%
1328-513 (1841)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$7.46
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.46
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6ecce8ec...861d24
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794593400