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Up
BoneOhioCTR<$100UpDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$10.06
Combined PnL
-$499.5
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares531
Combined PnL-$500.61
Down2 traders
Total Value$10.06
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$1.11
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 72% 1328-513 (1841) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $4 | $5.06 | +$1.06 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 38% 1131-1839 (2970) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
72%
1328-513 (1841)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$1.06
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
38%
1131-1839 (2970)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcec6ca99...cd82cd
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794592200