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UpUpDown
BoneOhioCTR<$100UpUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 63%
Total Value
$30.18
Combined PnL
-$587.21
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares628
Combined PnL-$584.18
Down3 traders
Total Value$30.18
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$3.03
Up — 63%Down — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.4¢ | $47.93 | — | -$47.93 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $18.31 | $16.18 | -$2.09 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $15.25 | — | -$15.25 | 73% 1126-414 (1540) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $18.8 | — | -$18.8 | 51% 1497-1460 (2957) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $8.74 | $9 | +$0.26 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $8.1 | $5 | -$1.19 | 38% 953-1575 (2528) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$47.93
Value
—
PnL
-$47.93
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$18.31
Value
$16.18
PnL
-$2.09
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$15.25
Value
—
PnL
-$15.25
Record
73%
1126-414 (1540)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$18.8
Value
—
PnL
-$18.8
Record
51%
1497-1460 (2957)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$8.74
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.26
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$8.1
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.19
Record
38%
953-1575 (2528)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb3582758...d7e56a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794529500