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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 50%

Total Value

$163.58

Combined PnL

-$499.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 12 top traders (50%)10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares651
Combined PnL-$589.58
Down6 traders
Total Value$163.58
Total Shares164
Combined PnL+$89.59
Up — 50%Down — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

UN
uninformedfloww
Down

Invested

$55.4

Value

$115.65

PnL

+$60.25

Record

51%

1497-1460 (2957)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Up

Invested

$38.06

Value

—

PnL

-$38.06

Record

38%

953-1575 (2528)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$25.03

Value

—

PnL

-$25.03

Record

52%

1846-1725 (3571)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$5.04

Value

$12.92

PnL

+$7.88

Record

63%

2841-1704 (4545)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$21.74

Value

—

PnL

-$21.74

Record

51%

2307-2260 (4567)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$5.55

Value

$15

PnL

+$9.45

Record

48%

1394-1530 (2924)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$2.28

Value

—

PnL

-$2.28

Record

38%

771-1268 (2039)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$2.7

Value

$6.75

PnL

+$4.05

Record

66%

2417-1229 (3646)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$2.7

Value

$6.75

PnL

+$4.05

Record

49%

1644-1742 (3386)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$2.6

Value

$6.5

PnL

+$3.9

Record

47%

1444-1636 (3080)

BO
bosona<$100
Up

Invested

$2.47

Value

—

PnL

-$2.47

Record

50%

4140-4074 (8214)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xed1af663...29f965
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794529200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

-$500
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $115.65

+$60.25
AN

antsaslyku

Up — $0

-$38.06

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

-$25.03
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.92

+$7.88
SO

soswald1

Up — $0

-$21.74

ohioism

Down — $15

+$9.45
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

-$2.28
AS

asdaefef

Down — $6.75

+$4.05
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $6.75

+$4.05
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