Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 83%
$810.96
-$487.25
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $530 | +$2.87 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $141.57 | $143 | +$1.43 | 73% 1126-414 (1540) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $27.25 | $35.65 | +$8.4 | 51% 1497-1460 (2957) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $25.22 | $29.33 | +$4.11 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95.3¢ | $16.63 | $16.35 | -$0.28 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $14.64 | $15.25 | +$0.61 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $16.1 | $14 | -$2.1 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $10.8 | $12 | +$1.2 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95.5¢ | $11.08 | $9.99 | -$1.09 | 63% 1696-991 (2687) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $7.73 | $5.39 | -$2.34 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 953-1575 (2528) |
Invested
$550
Value
$530
PnL
+$2.87
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
BoneOhioInvested
$141.57
Value
$143
PnL
+$1.43
Record
73%
1126-414 (1540)
Invested
$27.25
Value
$35.65
PnL
+$8.4
Record
51%
1497-1460 (2957)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.22
Value
$29.33
PnL
+$4.11
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
Invested
$16.63
Value
$16.35
PnL
-$0.28
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
Invested
$14.64
Value
$15.25
PnL
+$0.61
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
Invested
$16.1
Value
$14
PnL
-$2.1
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.2
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
Invested
$11.08
Value
$9.99
PnL
-$1.09
Record
63%
1696-991 (2687)
Invested
$7.73
Value
$5.39
PnL
-$2.34
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
953-1575 (2528)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down — $530
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
BoneOhio
Down — $143
uninformedfloww
Down — $35.65
MayorMamdani
Down — $29.33
dvasdkasodk
Down — $16.35
hoodquant
Down — $15.25
asdaefef
Down — $14
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $12
asidjasiodja
Down — $9.99