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DownUpDownDownDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$568.05
Combined PnL
-$494.8
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$568.05
Total Shares568
Combined PnL+$5.66
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares514
Combined PnL-$500.47
Down β 67%Up β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $550 | $550 | +$5.38 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $4.9 | $5.05 | +$0.15 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.3Β’ | $0.47 | β | -$0.47 | 49% 949-993 (1942) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$5.38
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.15
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.47
Value
β
PnL
-$0.47
Record
49%
949-993 (1942)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0afd3f2c...86cbb2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794526500