Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 86%
$587.25
-$497.77
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $550 | $545 | -$0.6 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $10.84 | $11 | +$0.16 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $7.84 | $8 | +$0.16 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $5.88 | $6 | +$0.12 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 79.6Β’ | $8.95 | $11.25 | +$2.3 | 38% 927-1543 (2470) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $5.16 | $6 | +$0.84 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9Β’ | $1.6 | β | -$0.75 | 63% 2780-1667 (4447) |
Invested
$550
Value
$545
PnL
-$0.6
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$10.84
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.16
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.84
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.16
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.12
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$8.95
Value
$11.25
PnL
+$2.3
Record
38%
927-1543 (2470)
Invested
$5.16
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.84
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$1.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.75
Record
63%
2780-1667 (4447)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down β $545
ByteBadger92
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $11

MayorMamdani
Down β $8
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $6
antsaslyku
Down β $11.25
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $6
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp β $0