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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$510
Combined PnL
-$2.23
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$510
Total Shares510
Combined PnL+$0.45
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$2.68
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$1.2 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.95 | $5 | -$0.95 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.2
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.95
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.95
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x254f84a6...7ecb4e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794507600