Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 73%
$898.93
$48.45
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 48.8¢ | $515.56 | $508.56 | +$27.66 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $175.23 | $177 | +$1.77 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $51.23 | $84.97 | +$33.74 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $38.63 | $64.73 | +$26.1 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $26.67 | — | -$26.67 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $25.75 | $21.26 | -$4.25 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 49% 903-945 (1848) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $12.44 | $14.41 | +$1.97 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 34.8¢ | $4.76 | $8 | +$3.24 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.5¢ | $14.13 | — | -$14.13 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
Invested
$515.56
Value
$508.56
PnL
+$27.66
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$175.23
Value
$177
PnL
+$1.77
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$51.23
Value
$84.97
PnL
+$33.74
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$38.63
Value
$64.73
PnL
+$26.1
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$26.67
Value
—
PnL
-$26.67
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.75
Value
$21.26
PnL
-$4.25
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
49%
903-945 (1848)
Invested
$12.44
Value
$14.41
PnL
+$1.97
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$4.76
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.24
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$14.13
Value
—
PnL
-$14.13
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $508.56
hoodquant
Down — $177
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $84.97
soswald1
Down — $64.73
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $21.26
0x50f7
Down — $20
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $14.41
dvasdkasodk
Down — $8
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0