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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$59.28
Combined PnL
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,108
Combined PnL$-1.0K
Up3 traders
Total Value$59.28
Total Shares59
Combined PnL+$10.37
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$545.34 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$495.65 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $18.81 | $19 | +$0.19 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 51.8¢ | $12.56 | $24.23 | +$11.67 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98.7¢ | $17.54 | $16.05 | -$1.49 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.3¢ | $6.99 | — | -$6.99 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$545.34
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$495.65
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$18.81
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.19
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$12.56
Value
$24.23
PnL
+$11.67
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.54
Value
$16.05
PnL
-$1.49
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$6.99
Value
—
PnL
-$6.99
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x44b938e0...abd02a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794506700