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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 43%
Total Value
$557.21
Combined PnL
-$514.56
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$557.21
Total Shares557
Combined PnL+$6.26
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares567
Combined PnL-$520.82
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $547.62 | +$1.66 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.2¢ | $501.97 | — | -$501.97 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $18.55 | — | -$18.55 | 48% 772-820 (1592) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $4.4 | $8 | +$3.6 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $0.59 | $1.59 | +$1 | 48% 838-895 (1733) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$547.62
PnL
+$1.66
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$501.97
Value
—
PnL
-$501.97
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
PB
PBot-5CTR<$100Invested
$18.55
Value
—
PnL
-$18.55
Record
48%
772-820 (1592)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.6
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
AL
almach<$100Invested
$0.59
Value
$1.59
PnL
+$1
Record
48%
838-895 (1733)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x260ead53...e0345f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794505200