Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 44%

Total Value

$148.01

Combined PnL

-$505.3

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares533

Combined PnL-$505.85

Down5 traders

Total Value$148.01

Total Shares148

Combined PnL+$0.55

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
BoneOhio	Downavg 99¢	$106.7	$107.78	+$1.08	74% 1049-366 (1415)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$14.98	$15	+$0.02	49% 883-924 (1807)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 95.3¢	$10.49	$11.01	+$0.52	62% 2576-1569 (4145)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 99¢	$10.39	$9.22	-$1.11	38% 650-1081 (1731)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	63% 1554-926 (2480)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	51% 1806-1756 (3562)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 23.4¢	$5.35	—	-$5.35	51% 2130-2057 (4187)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	38% 866-1417 (2283)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

Invested

$106.7

Value

$107.78

PnL

+$1.08

Record

74%

1049-366 (1415)

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

49%

883-924 (1807)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$10.49

Value

$11.01

PnL

+$0.52

Record

62%

2576-1569 (4145)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$10.39

Value

$9.22

PnL

-$1.11

Record

38%

650-1081 (1731)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

63%

1554-926 (2480)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

51%

1806-1756 (3562)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$5.35

Value

—

PnL

-$5.35

Record

51%

2130-2057 (4187)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

866-1417 (2283)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x6d14ddd8...6b6236

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794500100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

BoneOhio

Down — $107.78

0x50f7

Down — $15

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $11.01

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $9.22

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

soswald1

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

Trade on Polymarket