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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

Total Value

$41.37

Combined PnL

-$907.03

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares958

Combined PnL-$903.52

Down2 traders

Total Value$41.37

Total Shares41

Combined PnL-$3.51

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
SO soswald1CTR	Upavg 50¢	$350	—	-$330.43	51% 2130-2057 (4187)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 62.8¢	$27.84	—	-$27.84	51% 1806-1756 (3562)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 97.6¢	$35.06	$26.37	-$8.69	62% 2576-1569 (4145)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 42.4¢	$9.81	$15	+$5.19	44% 1290-1624 (2914)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 89¢	$11.84	—	-$11.84	48% 1288-1398 (2686)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 36.6¢	$6.8	—	-$6.8	46% 1269-1467 (2736)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 78¢	$3.95	—	-$3.95	48% 1485-1609 (3094)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 42.5¢	$22.67	—	-$22.67	38% 866-1417 (2283)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

Invested

$350

Value

—

PnL

-$330.43

Record

51%

2130-2057 (4187)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$27.84

Value

—

PnL

-$27.84

Record

51%

1806-1756 (3562)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$35.06

Value

$26.37

PnL

-$8.69

Record

62%

2576-1569 (4145)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$9.81

Value

$15

PnL

+$5.19

Record

44%

1290-1624 (2914)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$11.84

Value

—

PnL

-$11.84

Record

48%

1288-1398 (2686)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$6.8

Value

—

PnL

-$6.8

Record

46%

1269-1467 (2736)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$3.95

Value

—

PnL

-$3.95

Record

48%

1485-1609 (3094)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$22.67

Value

—

PnL

-$22.67

Record

38%

866-1417 (2283)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdfcef0fc...5e3b27

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794499800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

soswald1

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $26.37

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $15

ohioism

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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