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UpUp
ohioism<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$518.49
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares543
Combined PnL-$528.33
Down1 trader
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$9.84
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
09 0x0970...e369CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.9¢ | $25.1 | — | -$25.1 | 51% 2068-2013 (4081) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 34.4¢ | $5.16 | $15 | +$9.84 | 48% 1250-1346 (2596) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.13 | — | -$0.13 | 48% 1442-1566 (3008) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 62% 2512-1527 (4039) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
09
0x0970...e369CTR<$100Invested
$25.1
Value
—
PnL
-$25.1
Record
51%
2068-2013 (4081)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.16
Value
$15
PnL
+$9.84
Record
48%
1250-1346 (2596)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$0.13
Value
—
PnL
-$0.13
Record
48%
1442-1566 (3008)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
62%
2512-1527 (4039)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x67b278ea...b53e8c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794491700