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DownDownDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$519.1
Combined PnL
-$6.72
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$519.1
Total Shares519
Combined PnL-$1.08
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares76
Combined PnL-$5.64
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | -$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $10.78 | $11 | +$0.22 | 62% 2512-1527 (4039) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $6.04 | $4.63 | -$1.41 | 67% 2180-1089 (3269) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $3.36 | $3.47 | +$0.1 | 52% 1676-1557 (3233) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.64 | — | -$0.64 | 52% 1296-1214 (2510) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $3.95 | — | -$3.95 | 51% 2068-2013 (4081) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.8¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 48% 1442-1566 (3008) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
-$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$10.78
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.22
Record
62%
2512-1527 (4039)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.04
Value
$4.63
PnL
-$1.41
Record
67%
2180-1089 (3269)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
$3.47
PnL
+$0.1
Record
52%
1676-1557 (3233)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.64
Value
—
PnL
-$0.64
Record
52%
1296-1214 (2510)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
—
PnL
-$3.95
Record
51%
2068-2013 (4081)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
48%
1442-1566 (3008)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x29b7eae3...71384e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794490500