Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 86%
$1.0K
$20.94
Smart Money Signal
12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $350 | $338 | +$7.72 | — |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $46.79 | $71.66 | +$24.87 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $36.5 | $50 | +$13.5 | 50% 3983-3986 (7969) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.3¢ | $23.87 | $22 | -$1.67 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95.5¢ | $16.56 | $17.33 | +$0.77 | 47% 1384-1531 (2915) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $13.9 | $15 | +$1.1 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.99 | $10.62 | +$5.63 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $7.69 | $5 | -$2.69 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $4.97 | $7.04 | +$2.07 | 38% 818-1357 (2175) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.7 | $5.22 | +$0.52 | 62% 1464-882 (2346) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 44% 1205-1516 (2721) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.71 | — | -$1.71 | 47% 1241-1387 (2628) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.7¢ | $31.33 | — | -$31.33 | 37% 598-1014 (1612) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$350
Value
$338
PnL
+$7.72
Record
—
Invested
$46.79
Value
$71.66
PnL
+$24.87
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$36.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$13.5
Record
50%
3983-3986 (7969)
Invested
$23.87
Value
$22
PnL
-$1.67
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$16.56
Value
$17.33
PnL
+$0.77
Record
47%
1384-1531 (2915)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.9
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.1
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
Invested
$4.99
Value
$10.62
PnL
+$5.63
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
Invested
$7.69
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.69
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$7.04
PnL
+$2.07
Record
38%
818-1357 (2175)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.52
Record
62%
1464-882 (2346)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
44%
1205-1516 (2721)
Invested
$1.71
Value
—
PnL
-$1.71
Record
47%
1241-1387 (2628)
Invested
$31.33
Value
—
PnL
-$31.33
Record
37%
598-1014 (1612)