Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 38%
$517.06
-$553.94
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $495 | $500 | +$5 | 74% 942-328 (1270) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $38.51 | — | -$38.51 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.9¢ | $13.98 | — | -$13.98 | 51% 1494-1420 (2914) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.1¢ | $5.05 | — | -$5.05 | 38% 803-1329 (2132) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $13.86 | $14 | +$0.14 | 67% 2047-1024 (3071) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $1.61 | — | -$1.61 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $2.79 | $3.06 | +$0.28 | 50% 3956-3972 (7928) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
BoneOhioInvested
$495
Value
$500
PnL
+$5
Record
74%
942-328 (1270)
Invested
$38.51
Value
—
PnL
-$38.51
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.98
Value
—
PnL
-$13.98
Record
51%
1494-1420 (2914)
Invested
$5.05
Value
—
PnL
-$5.05
Record
38%
803-1329 (2132)
Invested
$13.86
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.14
Record
67%
2047-1024 (3071)
Invested
$1.61
Value
—
PnL
-$1.61
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
Invested
$2.79
Value
$3.06
PnL
+$0.28
Record
50%
3956-3972 (7928)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)