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Up
BoneOhio<$100DownDownDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 20%
Total Value
$47.35
Combined PnL
-$500.36
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares500
Combined PnL-$500.09
Down4 traders
Total Value$47.35
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$0.27
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $31.68 | $32 | +$0.32 | 74% 942-328 (1270) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $8.89 | $8 | -$0.89 | 67% 2047-1024 (3071) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $2.3 | $2.35 | +$0.05 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$31.68
Value
$32
PnL
+$0.32
Record
74%
942-328 (1270)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$8.89
Value
$8
PnL
-$0.89
Record
67%
2047-1024 (3071)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
$2.35
PnL
+$0.05
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x75f1779d...2168ae
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794478200