Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 91%
1 arb excluded
$613.28
$10.61
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $504 | $507.17 | +$5.17 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $252.59 | $507.17 | +$255.17 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | β | -$250 | |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 90.7Β’ | $37.19 | $40.99 | +$3.8 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $12.3 | $15.77 | +$3.47 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $7.92 | $8.04 | +$0.12 | 47% 1308-1484 (2792) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $7.8 | $10 | +$2.2 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $6.51 | $7.31 | +$0.8 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 66% 1988-1002 (2990) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $3.43 | $7 | +$3.57 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 65Β’ | $3.9 | $6 | +$2.1 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 48% 658-722 (1380) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $0.8 | $1 | +$0.2 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $9 | β | -$9 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
Invested
$504
Value
$507.17
PnL
+$5.17
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$37.19
Value
$40.99
PnL
+$3.8
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
Invested
$12.3
Value
$15.77
PnL
+$3.47
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8.04
PnL
+$0.12
Record
47%
1308-1484 (2792)
Invested
$7.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.2
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
Invested
$6.51
Value
$7.31
PnL
+$0.8
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
66%
1988-1002 (2990)
Invested
$3.43
Value
$7
PnL
+$3.57
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.1
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
48%
658-722 (1380)
Invested
$0.8
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.2
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
β
PnL
-$9
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

BoneOhio
Down β $40.99
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $15.77
dvasdkasodk
Down β $8.04
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $7.31
asdaefef
Down β $5
antsaslyku
Down β $7
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $6
PBot-5
Down β $5