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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 38%

Total Value

$142.48

Combined PnL

-$502.21

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares574
Combined PnL-$510.71
Down8 traders
Total Value$142.48
Total Shares142
Combined PnL+$8.5
Up — 38%Down — 62%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$503.26

Value

—

PnL

-$491.86

Record

57%

2288-1755 (4043)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$68.43

Value

$72.19

PnL

+$3.76

Record

74%

910-315 (1225)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$17.25

Value

$15

PnL

-$2.25

Record

50%

1050-1060 (2110)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$11.88

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.12

Record

47%

1308-1484 (2792)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$12.53

Value

$11

PnL

-$1.17

Record

51%

1610-1559 (3169)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$9.85

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.15

Record

66%

1988-1002 (2990)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$7.95

Value

$15.29

PnL

+$7.34

Record

46%

1117-1330 (2447)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

62%

1374-851 (2225)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$10

Record

37%

778-1309 (2087)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.72

Value

—

PnL

-$0.75

Record

62%

2279-1406 (3685)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.05

Value

—

PnL

-$7.05

Record

47%

1159-1332 (2491)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$0.51

Value

$1

PnL

+$0.49

Record

51%

1455-1384 (2839)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

48%

1146-1235 (2381)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x155677d6...70b813
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794471600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$491.86

BoneOhio

Down — $72.19

+$3.76
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $15

-$2.25
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $12

+$0.12
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $11

-$1.17
AS

asdaefef

Down — $10

+$0.15
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15.29

+$7.34
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $6

+$0.06
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$10
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.75
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