Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 100%
1 arb excluded
$611.21
$12.23
Smart Money Signal
9 of 9 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $515.85 | $495 | -$4.85 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $247.02 | $495 | +$249.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.3¢ | $253.89 | — | -$253.95 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93.3¢ | $27.46 | $25.19 | -$2.27 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $16.77 | $16.94 | +$0.17 | 47% 1308-1484 (2792) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $11.88 | $12 | +$0.12 | 66% 1988-1002 (2990) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 68.5¢ | $9.64 | $14.08 | +$4.44 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $12.3 | $10 | -$2.3 | 51% 1455-1384 (2839) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $9.2 | $10 | +$0.8 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 62% 1374-851 (2225) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.8 | $10 | +$6.2 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
Invested
$515.85
Value
$495
PnL
-$4.85
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
Invested
$27.46
Value
$25.19
PnL
-$2.27
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
Invested
$16.77
Value
$16.94
PnL
+$0.17
Record
47%
1308-1484 (2792)
Invested
$11.88
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.12
Record
66%
1988-1002 (2990)
Invested
$9.64
Value
$14.08
PnL
+$4.44
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.3
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.3
Record
51%
1455-1384 (2839)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.8
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
62%
1374-851 (2225)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.2
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $25.19
dvasdkasodk
Up — $16.94
asdaefef
Up — $12
antsaslyku
Up — $14.08

MayorMamdani
Up — $10
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $10
asidjasiodja
Up — $8
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $10

G-Penis-Monster
Up — $10